The NFC’s top two teams this season will face off for a trip to the Super Bowl on Sunday, when the 49ers meet the Eagles.
Bettors made the Eagles a slight home favorite after Philadelphia dismantled the Giants in the Divisional Round and the 49ers knocked out the Cowboys behind the league’s No. 1 defense. While it’s a fairly even game on paper, there are a few factors that give the Eagles a slight edge.
The most obvious is San Francisco rookie Brock Purdy, who is just starting his third career on the road. Purdy’s two road starts this season were in Seattle and Las Vegas. The Seahawks ranked 26th in total defense and the Raiders ranked 28th. Purdy will be in class on Sunday against the Eagles’ top pass defense with an NFL-leading 70 sacks in the regular season, plus another five against the Giants.
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While this is a matchup of the NFL’s two best defenses, there is one area where the 49ers can be attacked and that’s on the field. The San Francisco defense ranks eighth in the NFL in total passing yards allowed and fourth in passes completed for 15 yards.
The Eagles should be able to exploit that weakness with receivers AJ Brown and DeVonta Smith. I see Brown making a difference in this game. I like the Over on his receiving yards and his longest receiving in this game.
The 49ers have the best fast defense in the NFL, while the Eagles rush for 147 yards per game (fifth best). However, I expect Philadelphia to come out aggressively and attack the suspect secondary 49ers to take an early lead. This will force Purdy to play uphill and allow the Eagles’ elite to dictate the game.
Betting on the NFL?
Look for Jalen Hurts’ arm to make all the difference in leading the Eagles to a Super Bowl berth.
The game: Eagles -3.
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