Melbourne News: Many parts of the country are at risk of devastating bushfires, with new modeling revealing the most vulnerable locations ahead of summer. The Dandenongs in Melbourne were last burned in 1997, and have been critically endangered ever since. While there is a “significant risk” of fires near suburban homes in these areas, EWN meteorologist Ken Kato says the fires are unlikely to be as large as in other parts of the state.
Melbourne News: North of Sydney as well as Melbourne (Melbourne) Large areas in the east are facing an increased risk of heatwaves and bushfires due to warm El Niño conditions and increased fuel loads as these areas have been relatively untouched by fire for years. Many parts of the country are at risk of devastating bushfires, with new modeling revealing the most vulnerable locations ahead of summer.
Sydney’s Ku-Ring-Gai Chase National Park and Berowra Valley National Park in Sydney are particularly at risk, as these areas have not seen a fire since 1994, according to new estimates from the Early Warning Network. The areas border up-market suburbs such as Wahrunga, Turramurra and St Ives, where smoke and other hazards are expected to affect Sydney’s leafy North Shore and northern beaches.
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The Dandenongs in Melbourne were last burned in 1997, and have been critically endangered ever since. While there is a “significant risk” of fires near suburban homes in these areas, EWN meteorologist Ken Kato says the fires are unlikely to be as large as in other parts of the state. “Those suburban bushy areas are also at higher risk than usual, but larger fires are more common a little further away from cities where there is more bushland,” he said.
“But you can never rule out the possibility of fire in those suburban areas, because the conditions are conducive to fire.” In south-east Queensland, D’Aguilar, Spring Mountain and Tamborine national parks are also at increased fire risk, threatening parts of Brisbane and the Gold Coast. The last major fire in Canberra’s west and south was in 2003, putting residents at risk this year. While these hotspots are at particular fire risk due to high fuel loads, areas burned by the 2019 fires are also at risk.
“Just because an area burned a few years ago doesn’t mean they’re more fire-resistant because since that triple La Niña there’s been tremendous vegetation growth and you’ve got all this vegetation that’s slowly drying out,” he said. has been, creating a lot of fuel for the fire and then on top of that, you have these bursts of hot dry conditions.”
A complete list of areas at highest risk according to EWN
- (Sydney: Ku-ring-gai Chase National Park and Barrowra Valley National Park
- Melbourne: Dandenongs
- Brisbane and Gold Coast: D’Aguilar National Park, Spring Mountain National Park and Tamborine National Park
- South Australia: Lincoln National Park
- Perth: Helena National Park
- Canberra region and Brindabella) (Pointer karva)
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